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US Dollar Bull Run Pauses: ECB Rate Cut Takes Center Stage

Oct. 14, 2024

EUR/USD Approaches Oversold, Eyes 1.1000 Resistance after Rejection at 1.0900 Inflation in the U.S. came in slightly hotter than expected, as shown by the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) released last week, which rose by 0.3% while the forecast was 0.2%. However, this is still in line with last month’s data, which was also 0.3%, […]

Uptober Starts With Whale Sell-Off. 30,000 BTC Change Hands

Oct. 11, 2024

Price Faces Rejection at Key Levels, 50-Day MA Holds the Balance Uptober is really letting down its Bitcoin fans thus far: it started with a significant drop of about $3,000. However, all the losses of the month were erased by October 7, bumping up hopes of a recovery. Yet, those hopes were short-lived and the […]

From “Hard” to “Soft” to “No Landing”? The CPI Will Tell

Oct. 07, 2024

EUR/USD Breaks Down After Double Top at 1.1200 The US Dollar is riding high on the back of better-than-expected jobs data released last Friday. All three job indicators exceeded expectations, showing that the inflation war is close to being over without an economic recession. The NFP showed that 254K new jobs were created during the […]

Welcome to “Uptober”: Expectation VS Reality

Oct. 04, 2024

Bull Trap Bonanza – The Descending Channel Is at It Again. Historically, October is the best month of the year for Bitcoin but this particular October hasn’t started with the best foot forward. We just experienced another false break of the descending channel and the bulls continue to get caught off guard as they did […]

Dollar Drops Ahead of NFP as Fed Jumbo-Cut Speculation Grows

Sep. 30, 2024

Double Top at 1.1200 and RSI Divergence Suggest Bearish Pressure for EUR/USD. The dollar closed the week lower after the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index posted softer-than-expected numbers. This shows that the Fed’s decision to apply a super-sized cut was not premature. The PCE increased by 0.1%, lower than the forecast (0.2%) and lower […]

ETFs Back in the Spotlight – $366M Pours Into the Market

Sep. 27, 2024

Is Bitcoin Finally Free of the Descending Channel? Where to Next? On September 26, spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) have seen the largest inflow since July 22nd. This happened just as Bitcoin broke through the $65,000 barrier and possibly managed to finally break free of the descending channel. On September 26, Bitcoin had a […]

The Fed Bites Off a Big Chunk Of the Rate. Core PCE Looms

Sep. 23, 2024

Doji Spotted at Resistance Level. Is the Uptrend Over? The Fed finally took a significant step during last week’s FOMC Meeting, opting for a bold 50-bps cut after two years of stringent monetary policy, rather than the more conservative 25-bps. This suggests that the primary battle against high inflation is largely won, though some smaller […]

Fed’s Super-Cut Fuels the BTC Rocket. Do We Have Lift Off?

Sep. 20, 2024

One More Breakout Attempt: Is This the Descending Channel’s Last Fight? The Fed finally did it and after two years of tight monetary policy, they decided to deliver a massive 50-bps cut instead of the more tame option of just trimming 25 bps. This implies that the main war against the high inflation has been […]

Gearing up for the Fed’s Decision: Size Matters

Sep. 16, 2024

EUR/USD Bounces at Support, Challenges 15-Month High The prospect of a super-sized rate cut by the Fed has weakened the US Dollar overall and sent it to a 9-month low against the Yen. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of major currencies has dropped to 100.86, down from […]

Exchange Outflows Grow: Good Signs on the Horizon?

Sep. 13, 2024

Bitcoin Regains Control of $57K – Top of the Channel Next? Bitcoin holders have been making waves, moving an impressive $750 million worth of the cryptocurrency out of exchanges in a single day. This marks the largest Bitcoin exodus since May, leaving exchanges with noticeably lighter digital wallets. What’s driving this trend? Bitcoin’s recent performance […]